Wednesday, 3 October 2007

Old chestnuts won't win it for Tories

The Guardian is confident that Gordon Brown will call an early election at the beginning of next week, predicting that the poll will take place on November 1.

The Conservative conference is already being used as the launching pad for David Cameron’s campaign, but despite the headline grabbing announcements regarding Inheritance Tax and Stamp Duty , it appears from David Davies speech that traditional Tory attacks on immigration and Euro-scepticism will be rallying points for the election, despite Cameron’s progressive reputation.

Time and time again it has been proven that in British politics these issues galvanise a very vocal minority, but that they are simply not pivotal enough to most people to form the battleground on which an election can be won.

Taken as a whole the British electorate is a more tolerant and liberal body than is often recognised. They have accepted and integrated a number of immigrant waves with only relatively minor social unrest. They largely accept that their society is a diverse and multicultural place and although Euroscepticism does exist, voting patterns show it is much less endemic than many analysts would argue and the British are in general, a fairly outward looking people.

If all the Conservative Party can offer in the forthcoming election is a couple of marginal tax cuts, demotic posturing on immigration and Europe and a snide campaign transparently based on Gordon Brown’s Scottishness, I have every confidence that the electorate will once again reject them.

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