Tuesday, 11 May 2010

Cameron in Number 10 as Clegg does the right thing.

So good sense has prevailed and David Cameron, finally, becomes Prime Minister. It has been a long wait to get Gordon Brown out of Downing Street. Yesterday Fraser Nelson caustically observed that special forces would be required to dislodge Brown from Number 10. That hasn't quite been necessary, Nick Clegg put the outgoing PM out of his misery.

O'Neill has outlined the reasons that the putative 'traffic light' coalition, or 'coalition of losers', would have spelled disaster for the United Kingdom. The Conservatives certainly realised this, a growing chorus of voices in the Labour party, to be fair to them, pointed out the same thing and the Liberal Democrats have apparently come to the same opinion.

Nick Clegg's party is in an extraordinary position. It has acquired political responsibility and leverage far beyond its mandate. But the Lib Dems moment in the sun could yet prove their undoing.

Had the party gone into power with Labour and a coterie of nationalists, it would have attracted enormous opprobrium and secured a landslide for the Tories whenever, inevitably, its unholy alliance fell apart. I am surprised, however, that Clegg favours shackling himself to the Conservatives.

If the Lib Dems do not accept, graciously, the role of junior partner, Cameron can portray a small party, holding the country to ransom. If they are too obviously subordinate, then any reason to vote Liberal Democrat in the future will evaporate. Their core support is already unhappy about any Tory deal.

I do believe that a Con -Lib coalition is the most responsible course of action, that it can provide a stable administration and that its government can work. Both the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have expressed commitment to cutting the deficit. David Cameron might have to rein in some of his plans, but there is plenty of common ground to get a government started.

I'm surprised that, on a purely tactical level, Nick Clegg has not steered his party towards support for a minority Conservative administration. However, that too would be unstable, and, if he secures agreement from the Lib Dem parliamentary party to go into government, which he surely will, then he should be congratulated for doing the right thing by Britain.


Andrew said...

I was hoping for a Lib-Lab coalition. I don't support either but then I don't support the Cameron Conservatives either. So I guess I was hoping a Lib-lab coalition would be a catalyst for the ghastly Cameron project.

slug said...

Supporters of UCUNF should not forget that a Cameron government is what they were hoping for-a reason to be cheerful.

I think he's a class act.

To sever the link with this PM would be daft for the UUP.

slug said...

Coming to Belfast this week according to Nick Robinson.

Chekov said...

Let's hope so. Don't get me wrong incidentally slug, I'm delighted to see DC as PM. The circumstances aren't perfect of course. My comments were simply about the Lib Dems future. I think this is a double edged sword for them.

Anonymous said...

DC is reportedly very unhappy about he was messed about by elements of the UUP leadership I suspect he will come to the UUP and offer an on going partnership - but require clearer leadership

K D Tennent said...

I agree its a big risk for the Lib Dems, but its also a big chance to prove that the Lib Dems are no longer the joke party. I think it can work, because the old Liberal wing of the Lib Dems are quite close to the left wing of the Tories, which seems to be in ascendancy at the moment, even forming a consensus over House of Lords reform. The Lib Dems have long had the problem that their rank and file schisms between social democrats and free-market liberals, but Clegg should sell it to the SD wing as a chance to water down Tory policy. Its going to be interesting when it comes to EU and foreign policy though!

Chekov said...


I actually welcome the fact that the LDs might temper some of the sweeties which were provided for the Tory right. I don't lament the hot potato approach to Inheritance Tax measures, for instance.

Although it concerns me that some of the more ideological free market liberals within the Conservative party will be use some of the Lib Dems tax policies to bolster their own low tax agenda. I've always argued that balancing the public finances should be a priority, rather than tax cuts.

Taking the earners up to £10k out of tax altogether is a fine idea, but I don't believe that closing 'tax loopholes' can pay for it. So you're left searching for an alternative higher up the tax system. I'm not sure how amenable backbench Tories will be to finding one.

K D Tennent said...

There's no guarantee, of course that this government would keep to its 'manifesto' as promised, but assuming it does it looks like a reasonable package.

Low tax need not nessescarily mean less government revenue if its costed correctly - although I'm suspicious that a Tory party funded by non-doms would be so keen to 'close tax loopholes'. But I'm in no doubt that getting people to pay tax in the UK part of the solution to the deficit, while the £10k threshold should make work more profitable for the benefit dependent.

I'm hopeful that an Osbourne-Cable-Clarke-Thurso team might be able to prod the economy in a postive direction - increasing the size of the pool of revenue rather than taking more from the present one seems to be the way to go. The important thing to make sure of is that when looking for savings, economically effective things like education and transport are not targetted.

Timothy Belmont said...

I'm sanguine and very optimistic indeed about the new coalition. I have a lot of respect for Vince Cable in particular, as Business Secretary.

I have a feeling that the extraordinary new partnership could well prove to be durable.