“Today's Western Mail carries what Political Betting's Mike Smithson reports as YouGov's first ever Wales-only Westminster voting intention poll. It saw over 1,000 Welsh voters surveyed last week.”
It finds that 34% of Welsh voters intend to vote Labour, just ahead of the Conservatives at 31%, whilst Plaid Cymru and the Liberal Democrats languish at 15% and 12% respectively.
In a traditional Labour heartland, these poll results could translate into twelve Tory seats, which would demolish the thesis that David Cameron presides over an England-only party.
It also reinforces the suspicion that nationalism is not making gains in Wales, similar to those which have been achieved in Scotland.